Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000114 0.000134 0.000155 0.000179 0.000205 0.000233 0.000264
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000086 0.000111 0.000139 0.000174 0.000213 0.000256 0.000307
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000072 0.000100 0.000133 0.000174 0.000223 0.000277 0.000343
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000061 0.000091 0.000128 0.000175 0.000232 0.000298 0.000380
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000083 0.000122 0.000174 0.000238 0.000314 0.000409
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000072 0.000113 0.000168 0.000238 0.000322 0.000429
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000037 0.000068 0.000110 0.000169 0.000246 0.000340 0.000460
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000029 0.000059 0.000101 0.000162 0.000242 0.000342 0.000473
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000026 0.000056 0.000100 0.000164 0.000251 0.000360 0.000503
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000022 0.000051 0.000096 0.000163 0.000255 0.000372 0.000527
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000021 0.000050 0.000097 0.000168 0.000267 0.000394 0.000563
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000018 0.000048 0.000095 0.000169 0.000274 0.000410 0.000593
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000014 0.000042 0.000089 0.000165 0.000275 0.000419 0.000615
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000011 0.000037 0.000084 0.000162 0.000277 0.000430 0.000640
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000009 0.000034 0.000081 0.000161 0.000281 0.000443 0.000668
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000008 0.000032 0.000080 0.000163 0.000289 0.000462 0.000704
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000006 0.000029 0.000076 0.000161 0.000293 0.000474 0.000730
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000004 0.000025 0.000071 0.000156 0.000290 0.000478 0.000746
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000004 0.000023 0.000069 0.000157 0.000297 0.000495 0.000779
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000002 0.000020 0.000063 0.000150 0.000292 0.000495 0.000789
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000002 0.000018 0.000063 0.000152 0.000300 0.000513 0.000823
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000001 0.000017 0.000060 0.000151 0.000303 0.000525 0.000849
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.000001 0.000016 0.000061 0.000155 0.000315 0.000549 0.000893